Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.27% this week from 4.4% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.61%, compared with 4.79% last week. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

Discover how AI investment is fueling U.S. GDP growth, masking sectoral slowdowns, and shaping global capital flows. Click ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted, meaning short-term interest rates on treasury bonds were unusually higher than long term rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. A key ...

In the complex world of finance, various tools exist to guide a diverse group of professionals, including economists, investors, and financial advisors. One such tool that is widely under the watch ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest... Can the yield curve still predict recessions? Two years ...

Treasury yields were going in different directions as the bond market digested the latest Federal Reserve forecasts and a potential government shutdown. After the Fed opted for a quarter-point rate ...