President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...

It's worthwhile recalling that mainstream economists, the Federal Reserve, government agencies and the mainstream financial media all deny the economy is in recession until it falls off a cliff. Back ...

Geoff Bertram does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond ...

The resilience of the US economy in 2023 was a surprise for some economists. An intriguing explanation for why many recession models failed last year: resiliency in residential construction payrolls.

Nonfarm employment is currently 0.00% off its all-time high (data through April 2025). Industrial production is currently 0.26% off its all-time high from February 2025 (data through April 2025). Real ...

This chart, as well as others that show the same trend, have made the rounds on social media. (Haver Analytics, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research) Some investors have waited patiently for the ...

The U.S. job market cooled further in the past month, based on a raft of recently released reports. But there is no sign of a steep downturn that would suggest an imminent recession.