The level of U.S. Treasury yields and the changing shape of the Treasury yield curve provide investors with critical feedback regarding the market’s expectations for economic growth, inflation, and ...

Normal Yield Curve: Longer-term bonds (like the 10-year) pay more than shorter-term ones. This usually signals a healthy, ...

Back in August I wrote: Don't Freak Out about the Yield Curve I noted that I wasn't even on recession watch! First, here is a graph of the current yield curve, and the yield curve back on August 27, ...

In the complex world of finance, various tools exist to guide a diverse group of professionals, including economists, investors, and financial advisors. One such tool that is widely under the watch ...

Over the last week, Treasury yields were up 0.10% at 2 years and up 0.12% at 10 years. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year Treasury spread was up 0.02% at 0.16%. The maximum probability that the 2 ...

What the Yield Curve Actually Is At its core, the yield curve is a simple graph showing the interest rates the U.S. government pays to borrow money — from 3-month Treasury bills all the way out to ...

YIELD curves are a graphic representation of interest rates for different maturity tenors. Essentially, under normal circumstances, the rational expectation is that interest rates will be higher as ...

Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.26% this week from 4.31% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.47%, compared with 4.52% last week. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year Treasury spread is ...

Economists often look to the US Treasury bond market for clues about when a recession might come. Specifically, they examine the so-called yield curve. When it’s “inverted,” as it has been since about ...