GIS provides independent, unbiased scenario-based geopolitical forecasting and analysis with a focus on relevance for decisionmakers.

The popularity of conservative nationalist movements and political parties is on the rise. One shared position is support for more restrictive immigration policies. Recent political events in Europe ...

The Maastricht Treaty reshaped Europe, but its centralizing ambitions betrayed economic growth and triggered crises still unfolding today. After the Maastricht Treaty was signed by politicians in ...

China has entered a deflationary cycle, exposing stark economic disparities amid slowing growth and cautious policy changes. China has been facing ongoing deflation, with prices declining for six ...

Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan are strengthening their economic ties with China through an ambitious railway project linking the three countries along the historical Silk Road. The new railway connecting ...

Facing war fatigue at home, Western governments are tempted to use Russian foreign exchange reserves to pay for aid to Ukraine. The stakes are higher than some policymakers realize. An illuminated ...

Greenland has passed a draft constitution, raising the possibility of independence from Denmark and concerns over its strategic significance. Qaanaaq, Greenland is among the most northern inhabited ...

The recent BRICS summit in Johannesburg confirmed the transition to a multipolar order where, despite the salience of the United States and China, medium powers and regional alignments are also ...

Belarus has become a key asset for Russia while trying to maintain some strategic independence. This approach will become increasingly strained as the war in Ukraine drags on. Belarusian President ...

The 2022 energy crisis produced higher prices and policy changes that encouraged investment in the oil and gas sector again. A “floatel” – essentially a floating hotel – designed to house hundreds of ...

Mozambique’s post-election unrest reflects deep-seated political, economic and social tensions that may lead to challenges in neighboring countries. A protester creates a burning barricade on the ...

The complex and evolving trade relationship between the United States and the European Union is at a pivotal moment, reflecting broader global shifts and geopolitical uncertainties. As two of the ...