GIS provides independent, unbiased scenario-based geopolitical forecasting and analysis with a focus on relevance for decisionmakers.

China has entered a deflationary cycle, exposing stark economic disparities amid slowing growth and cautious policy changes. China has been facing ongoing deflation, with prices declining for six ...

The popularity of conservative nationalist movements and political parties is on the rise. One shared position is support for more restrictive immigration policies. Recent political events in Europe ...

The Maastricht Treaty reshaped Europe, but its centralizing ambitions betrayed economic growth and triggered crises still unfolding today. After the Maastricht Treaty was signed by politicians in ...

Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan are strengthening their economic ties with China through an ambitious railway project linking the three countries along the historical Silk Road. The new railway connecting ...

President Trump has renewed U.S. interest in Greenland to counter Chinese and Russian influence in the Arctic. Flags from the Faroe Islands, Denmark, Greenland and the United States are displayed in ...

The decision to agree on their maritime borders will benefit Israel and Lebanon, but it remains to be seen whether the region can become a natural gas hub. A man looks at the Mediterranean Sea on the ...

Greenland has passed a draft constitution, raising the possibility of independence from Denmark and concerns over its strategic significance. Qaanaaq, Greenland is among the most northern inhabited ...

Facing war fatigue at home, Western governments are tempted to use Russian foreign exchange reserves to pay for aid to Ukraine. The stakes are higher than some policymakers realize. An illuminated ...

The 2022 energy crisis produced higher prices and policy changes that encouraged investment in the oil and gas sector again. A “floatel” – essentially a floating hotel – designed to house hundreds of ...

Global trade flows are shifting and fragmenting, while Donald Trump’s rapprochement with Vladimir Putin could complicate matters further. Cars lined up for export at the Lianyungang Port in China. In ...

The complex and evolving trade relationship between the United States and the European Union is at a pivotal moment, reflecting broader global shifts and geopolitical uncertainties. As two of the ...