GIS provides independent, unbiased scenario-based geopolitical forecasting and analysis with a focus on relevance for decisionmakers.

The popularity of conservative nationalist movements and political parties is on the rise. One shared position is support for more restrictive immigration policies. Recent political events in Europe ...

China has entered a deflationary cycle, exposing stark economic disparities amid slowing growth and cautious policy changes. China has been facing ongoing deflation, with prices declining for six ...

Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan are strengthening their economic ties with China through an ambitious railway project linking the three countries along the historical Silk Road. The new railway connecting ...

The Maastricht Treaty reshaped Europe, but its centralizing ambitions betrayed economic growth and triggered crises still unfolding today. After the Maastricht Treaty ...

Greenland has passed a draft constitution, raising the possibility of independence from Denmark and concerns over its strategic significance. Qaanaaq, Greenland is among the most northern inhabited ...

The recent BRICS summit in Johannesburg confirmed the transition to a multipolar order where, despite the salience of the United States and China, medium powers and regional alignments are also ...

Facing war fatigue at home, Western governments are tempted to use Russian foreign exchange reserves to pay for aid to Ukraine. The stakes are higher than some policymakers realize. An illuminated ...

The 2022 energy crisis produced higher prices and policy changes that encouraged investment in the oil and gas sector again. A “floatel” – essentially a floating hotel – designed to house hundreds of ...

The complex and evolving trade relationship between the United States and the European Union is at a pivotal moment, reflecting broader global shifts and geopolitical uncertainties. As two of the ...

Although oil markets are no strangers to volatility, oil prices exhibited notable swings in 2022. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24 created significant uncertainty, and prices spiked ...

Some countries have a stranglehold on the materials the world needs to build a low-carbon economy. By 2030, at least 300 new mines – for materials like cobalt, copper, graphite, lithium, nickel, rare ...