The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors …

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors …

The Deluxe version of our model calculates an implied margin for each race based on expert race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball; it then …

2021年4月22日 · An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

2024年2月26日 · Among respondents who describe themselves as “certain” to vote, Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by three percentage points. Conversely, among respondents who describe …

2020年10月27日 · How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that …

2019年10月22日 · Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look …

2020年10月11日 · A team’s current rating reflects any injuries and rest days in effect at the moment of the team's next game. Elo ratings — which power the pure Elo forecast — are a …

2022年7月19日 · Republicans filed an emergency application with Justice Alito seeking a stay of Pennsylvania's new congressional districts because they were adopted by the state Supreme …

"match_header_quality_desc": "The harmonic mean of the teams’ SPI ratings", "match_header_leverage": "Importance", "match_header_leverage_desc": "How much the result …